*TAMWORTH CUP PRELUDE RACE DAY
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1st Race @ 1.35pm
*Track likely improving to Good 4 & Rail out +4m from 1000m to WP & True the Remainder:
*ALL races carry a BOBS Silver Bonus up to $9625.00 + R1 offers a BOBS Extra Bonus up to $5,625.00
*RACE 1 @ 1.35pm CARLTON DRY MORNINGTON PRELUDE 3YO & UP OPEN HCP (2100m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
TOP SELECTION: 4. DISSENTER (Mark Jones/Ashley Morgan; 55kg & barrier 3) - We start the big Cup Prelude meeting over the staying trip on a track that should get close to Good range. Tactics & tempo will be vital here, but it shapes well for this underrated 5YO Dissident mare who will appreciate a better draw, and significant weight relief. Has worked home okay in her last three, only beaten last start by one of the better restricted stayers in country NSW. Maps to get cover just off the speed, and a form country rider takes over
MAIN DANGERS: 3. **Endorphins; 5. *Foodie King; 7. *Zaidin
Likely Tempo: Fair to Reasonable
My BET PLAN: DISSENTER to WIN & Quinella: 3 and 4
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*RACE 2 @ 2.10pm DYNAMIC FIRE MAIDEN PLATE (1600m) - Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
TOP SELECTION: 8. CLASSIC DEEL (Kris Lees/Dylan Gibbons a0kg; 56.5kg & barrier 10) - Emerging provincial filly who boasts the right profile to break through at her fourth start. Has done her best work in her last two from well back over shorter trips, and desperately wants the mile journey now on suitably firmer ground. Will naturally get back from the wider barrier, but has the superior closing 600m dash
MAIN DANGERS: 3. *Second Half; 4. *Windabull; 9. **Love Rules
Likely Tempo: Solid
My BET PLAN: CLASSIC DEEL to WIN & Quinella: 8 and 9
*RACE 3 @ 2.50pm SHAY BRENNAN CONSTRUCTION MAIDEN PLATE (1000m) - Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
TOP SELECTION: 2. BEST SIDE (Nathan Doyle/Lee Magorrian; 58.5kg & barrier 3) - Plenty of confidence surrounding this ex Chris Waller-trained Not A Single Doubt three-year-old who starts a new prep for a smart provincial stable. Didn't fulfil that early career promise last prep, although didn't have a lot of luck in much stronger grades. Has trialled strongly at the provincials, and this looks an ideal fresh target for a stable that has a good record when they're new
MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Burdekin; 11. ***Power Conductor
Likely Tempo: Good to Strong
My BET PLAN: BEST SIDE to WIN & Quinella: 2 and 11
*RACE 4 @ 3.25pm GREENWAY TURF SOLUTIONS MAIDEN HCP (1200m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
TOP SELECTION: 13. ROYAL CONFESSION (Cody Morgan/Aaron Bullock; 57kg & barrier 2) - Big home track influence in this one, but very keen at the value with a lightly raced Spill The Beans four-year-old who is first-up since spring, with front pads on for the first time. Has had two strong trial hit-outs, draws to get a nice run with cover, and a big advantage having the "Raging Bull" on under a middle-scale weight. Was beaten under a length in three straight runs last prep against deeper opposition, and reportedly set to return and even stronger finisher
MAIN DANGERS: 1. **Jocat; 4. *Lago Di Braies; 6. Our Boy Ollie
Likely Tempo: Solid
My BET PLAN: ROYAL CONFESSION to WIN
*RACE 5 @ 4.05pm COURTHOUSE HOTEL TAMWORTH CLASS 2 HCP (1200m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
TOP SELECTION: 3. DEEP SNOW (Angela Davies/Dylan Gibbons a0kg; 59kg & barrier 4) Tipping this progressive and lightly raced Deep Field provincial three-year-old will go on to win bigger and better races. Broke through second-up at Muswellbrook finishing best from just off the speed, and draws to charter a similar path here. Has sidestepped a couple of heavy tracks lately to be saved for this, and the tighter circuit should also be a plus for one with an above average turn of foot from the bend
MAIN DANGERS: 1. *What A Peach; 2. **Daksha; 5. *Just In Reach; 6. *Aarkus; 8. **Decadent Tale
Likely Tempo: Solid
My BET PLAN: DEEP SNOW to WIN & First Four: 2,3,8/1,2,3,5,6,8/1,2,3,5,6,8/1,2,3,5,6,8
*RACE 6 @ 4.40pm TAMWORTH CITY TOYOTA TAMWORTH CUP PRELUDE OPEN HCP (1400m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
TOP SELECTION: 4. ACROPHOBIC (Cody Morgan/Dylan Gibbons a0kg; 57.5kg & barrier 10) - Progressive home track Dissident four-year-old who is well placed to strike third-up back a little in distance off a near seven week freshen-up. Hit the line impressively in the Quirindi Cup despite covering ground, and always races best when he can get to the outside of horses from the 500m mark. Kept ticking over via a very quiet trial, and connections confident the Cup campaign can be the platform to improve his numbers having raced against stronger opposition for most of his career
MAIN DANGERS: 5. *Patriot; 8. **Buffet Buster; 12. *Previso
Likely Tempo: Solid
My BET PLAN: ACROPHOBIC to WIN
*RACE 7 AUSTRALIAN BLOODSTOCK BENCHMARK 66 HCP (1000m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
TOP SELECTION: 2.I'M A CRACKER (Luke Morgan/Aaron Bullock; 62kg & barrier 12) - Not concerned by the outside gate for this lightly raced Benfica six-year-old who resumes off a seven month spell, and is trained on the track. Has versatility over the shorter trips, either pushing forward and sitting nearer or outside the lead, or easing back in the field. Boasts a smart first-up record here, and jockey change is significant, finding the right spot behind a strong speed
MAIN DANGERS: 5. *Giftgiver; 6. **Water Dove; 9. **Tango Stepz
Likely Tempo: Good to Strong
My BET PLAN: I'M A CRACKER to WIN & Trifecta: 2,6,9/2,5,6,9/2,5,6,9
**My BEST EARLY BETS:
R1 4. DISSENTER** (Expect: $3.25 - $3.60; My Early Rating: $2.25)
R3 2. BEST SIDE* (Expect: $2.60 - $2.75; My Early Rating: $2.00)
R6 4. ACROPHOBIC** (Expect: $2.60 - $2.75; My Early Rating: $1.98)
**My BEST EARLY VALUE:
R5 3. DEEP SNOW** (Expect: $5.00 - $5.10; My Early Rating: $3.62)
**My BEST EARLY EXOTICS:
R1: QUINELLA: 3 & 4
R5: FIRST FOUR: 2,3,8/1,2,3,5,6,8/1,2,3,5,6,8/1,2,3,5,6,8
