WINNING the seat of Tamworth in today's state election won't be a walk in the park for the Nationals, Barnaby Joyce says.
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The New England MP has backed his state counterpart, Kevin Anderson, to retain his seat in parliament, but he sensed the competition is a bit stiffer this time around.
"I think it is going to be a tougher election, no one is taking this one for granted at all," Mr Joyce said.
"I believe Kevin and the Nats will win, but it's no walk in the park."
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Mr Joyce said huge swings had become more common in Australian politics in recent years and this region wasn't exempt.
Mr Anderson won the 2015 poll with a margin of 28.9 per cent.
"There is no such thing as a safe seat anymore," he said.
"I was part of a 23 per cent swing when I was lucky enough to come back and win New England and don't think it won't go back the other way."
Mr Joyce believed the coalition would win the NSW election, but he said it could end-up forming government in a hung parliament.