*1st Race @ 12.40pm
*Races 1, 2 & 3 carry a BOBS Silver Bonus Available up to $9625.00, Race 4 a BOBS & BOBS EXTRA Bonus up to $11,250.00; Race 5, 6 & 8 up to $19,250.00; & Race 7 up to $38,500!
*Track Good 4 and Rail out +1m:
*RACE 1 @ 12.40pm CARPET ONE TAMWORTH MAIDEN PLATE (1400m) - Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
We start Cup day with the maidens at set weights. Smart local four-year old gelding and perennial place-getter 4. TRUMPED UP (Cody Morgan/Aaron "Raging Bull" Bullock; 59kg) can break through at his 15th start, and third-up this prep. Was very good from a long way back at Muswellbrook behind a promising provincial filly, and the blinkers go back on. Change in jockey significantly improves his rating as well.
*MAIN DANGERS: Scone filly 13. Lapseki is the immediate threat second-up with gear changes over a bit more ground. Expecting big improvement third-up from rival Scone three-year-old 8. Quan who had little or no room and wasn't suited around the traffic chaos track at Armidale, and blinkers come off; while progressive three-year-old 6. Apache Red is on the next line getting out to an ideal trip fifth-up in his first prep.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: TRUMPED UP to WIN and Quinella: 4 & 13
*RACE 2 @ 1.15pm CIVILCON SOLUTIONS ROMANTIC DREAM 2YO PLATE (1000m) - Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
The babies get their turn now over the sprint course, and talented Scone-based Press Statement colt 1. BABY WONG (Stephen Jones/Matthew Palmer; 57kg) resumes in a suitable race at set weights, with winkers replacing blinkers. Was ultra competitive in much tougher black-type races in QLD last spring, and is the one to beat here over this distance.
*MAIN DANGERS: Promising provincial filly 9. Sweet Ruby is the clear threat. Took over on the turn and careered away for a dominant second-up maiden win, and beautifully drawn to stalk the speed again. Gap to the rest headed by Denman gelding 2. Blow Dart who drove hard to win a thinner race on debut at Dubbo, and while this is tougher, draws to get a nice trail off the speed. Watch the betting on debutant provincial filly 5. Keynote off two recent progressive trials.
Likely Tempo: Good
My Betting Attack: BABY WONG to WIN and Quinella: 1 and 9
*RACE 3 @ 1.50pm AUSTRALIAN BLOODSTOCK COUNTRY MAIDEN PLATE (1000m) - Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
Very tricky sprint this one. Keen at the good odds on three-year-old Scone filly 13. CROSS STEP (Paul Messara/Andrew Gibbons; 56.5kg) getting on to a firmer surface. Didn't finish off when well backed on debut, but that soft track was shifty, and much better off here rolling forward over a shorter journey.
*MAIN DANGERS: Emerging three-year-old 5. Anselmo resumes off a solid trial, and will be strong late. Must include home track filly 12. C'mon And Love Me who looks ready to pounce off two progressive runs. A query dropping back in trip, although gets in light after the claim. Watch the market on Scone-trained Written Tycoon filly 14. Written Verse resuming at big odds for a new stable off a steady and controlled trial.
Likely Tempo: Good to Strong
My Betting Attack: CROSS STEP Each Way & Trifecta: 5,12,13/5,12,13/5,12,13,14
*RACE 4 @ 2.25pm SHAY BRENNAN CONSTRUCTIONS MORNINGTON HCP (2100m) - Min Weight 55kg; 3YO's & Up; Apprentices Can Claim:
Another testing and wide battle. The progression of Newcastle four-year-old 2. READY BY DESIGN (Nathan Doyle/Ben Looker; 55.5kg) is enough to see him claim a third win in four starts. Has charged home in his last few at BM 64 level, including Gosford three weeks back, carrying bigger weights, and drops a crucial 4kg for this.
*MAIN DANGERS: Hard to fathom why rapidly improving three-year-old 10. Scorched Land came up well into double figure odds after sailing home to win under a bigger weight at Muswellbrook, Admittedly this is a decent jump in class, but he's hard fit and carries 5kg less. Keep safe improving three-year-old 9. Point Counterpoint who hasn't finished further back than second in four of his last five, and drops in weight for this much harder test. Progressive Inverell four-year-old 8. Battle Guardian steps up from a dominant off-speed CL1 win, and another dropping significantly in weight for the jump in class. Tough six-year-old1. Chocolatier was brave in the Mornington Prelude here, and rarely runs a bad one, but doubt he can give most of these 6kg and salute; while don't dismiss local five-year-old 6. Shamusu Sho, with a senior rider getting back on from a soft draw.
My Betting Attack: READY BY DESIGN to WIN and First Four: 2,8,9,10/1,2,6,8,9,10/1,2,6,8,9,10/1,2,6,8,9,10
*RACE 5 @ 3.05pm THE BAXTER BOOTS "GOLDEN BOOT" COUNTRY MAGIC CLASS 1 HCP (1400m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices can Claim:
A stack of chances here where early tempo and positions will be critical. Home track four-year-old gelding 4. MANSENETA (Cody Morgan/Aaron "Raging Bull" Bullock; 58kg) was even through the line resuming in a deeper BM 58 here. Only win so far came second-up, drops 2kg with key gear changes, and the "Raging Bull" is booked to ride. Well over the odds.
*MAIN DANGERS: Promising stablemate three-year-old 2. Levi's Storm has had seven weeks since exploding away to win his maiden at third start by more than six lengths. Has trialled well enough recently, but some risk at the price over this distance. Improving filly 10. Kingstar Bullet has shown plenty in her first prep, but has to negate a tough barrier; while don't under-sell resuming Scone mare 9. Cliffsinger who can race well fresh from the good draw. Include both 7. Half Hinch who won well here last start; and 12. Rusty Hawk in wider exotics.
Likely Tempo: Fair to Solid
My Betting Attack: MANSENETA Each Way and Box Exacta: 2,4,10
*RACE 6 @ 3.40pm JT FOSSEY TAMWORTH BENCHMARK 66 HCP JARDEL CUP (1400m) - Min Weight 55kg; Fillies & Mares; Apprentices Can Claim:
Another open sprint, but very keen on one. Lightly raced Newcastle and ex-Victorian mare 5. KISLINA (Jason Deamer/Ms Sammie "Queen of Hoops" Clenton; 59.5kg) is well placed second-up from the handy gate. Worked home okay resuming in her first run for a new stable carrying a kilo more, and delighted the "Queen of Hoops" stayed in the saddle.
MAIN DANGERS: Talented local mare 6. Satin Ruby is ready to win again after flashing home in her last two in similar quality company. Only concern in a big field is the inside draw for one who likes to drift well back. The Scone stable of Sebring filly 8. Surooj has always had a good opinion of her, and she can peak third-up from a handy draw, with a leading country rider taking over. Stablemate mare 9. A Fortunate Lass will also come on well from a solid closing second-up effort behind a smart one in CL2 grade. Keep safe local mare and last-start provincial winner 4. Doppelpunkt; and ex-Qld six-year-old 7. Solar Panel having first run for new Moree stable.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: KISLINA to WIN & Box Exacta 5,6,8
*RACE 7 @ 4.20pm GREAT NORTHERN TAMWORTH CUP (1400m) - Quality; Min Weight 54kg; Apprentices Cannot Claim:
The feature race has drawn another strong field, and typically full of winning chances. None more so than promising Scone four-year-old gelding 8. TOTAL RECALL (Paul Messara/Craig Williams; 54kg) is one of the better weighted runners all meeting. Drops 2.5kg after sweeping home to win a good quality BM 86 first-up over the same trip, and leading Victorian rider Craig Williams makes the long journey to ride before heading further north for the Qld carnival.
*MAIN DANGERS: Not convinced this track suits local seven-year-old 1. Wren's Day but he has class, and comes in off three strong closing runs in good metro grade in Qld, winning a CL3 two runs back over the same distance. Leading trainer has changed up the gear, and if he gets a decent crack at them from the 400m, very few will be finishing harder. Expecting smart five-year-old 2. Two Big Fari to improve sharply on the firm track after disappointing first-up. Tricky draw, but five of his seven wins have been on a Good rating, and he's unbeaten from two starts at the track. Front-running 5. Petronius has been given four weeks since a fighting effort in the Muswellbrook Cup, and looked sharp winning a recent trial. Consistent six-year-old 13. Hit The Target was impressive under a big weight first-up at Newcastle. This is naturally tougher, and has to overcome a horror draw, but drops a hefty 6.5kg in weight. Keep safe provincial five-year-old 10. Holy Reign who flew home to win third-up at Kembla, and is also down significantly in weight for this harder test.
Likely Tempo: Solid to Good
My Betting Attack: TOTAL RECALL to WIN & Box Exacta: 1,2,8
*RACE 8 @ 4.55pm DUTTON ELECTRICAL JOHN CLIFT MEMORIAL BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1000m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
We finish a big day over the sprint trip, and is it a simple case of how far for smart local three-year-old 2. ICE IN VANCOUVER (Cody Morgan/Dylan Gibbons a2kg; 61kg) resuming from a soft draw. Won two straight in explosive fashion to start his career last year before dropping out with problems in the Kosciuszko. Looks ready to go, winning a recent home trial by nearly eight lengths, and with the big weight off-set by a 2kg claim, only bad luck stands in his way.
*MAIN DANGERS: Resuming stablemate four-year-old 3. Rubic Honour also comes to hand quickly, but is drawn wide; while both 14. Makana fresh; and provincial three-year-old 10. Castlecomer will be getting home hard.
Likely Tempo: Good
My BETTING ATTACK: ICE IN VANCOUVER to WIN
**My BEST EARLY BETS:
R1 4. TRUMPED UP** Expect: $2.05 - $2.25; My Early Rating: $1.80
R8 2. ICE IN VANCOUVER** Expect: $1.95 - $2.00; My Early Rating: $1.65
**My BEST EARLY VALUE:
R3 13. CROSS STEP* Expect: $7.00 - $7.50; My Early Rating: $4.60
R5 4. MANSENETA** Expect: $8.00 - $8.50; My Early Rating: $4.90
R6 5. KISLINA** Expect: $4.25 - $4.50; My Early Rating: $2.50
**TRAINERS TO FOLLOW:
**JOCKEYS TO FOLLOW:
Monday May 17, 2021
Our journalists work hard to provide local, up-to-date news to the community. This is how you can continue to access our trusted content: