TAMWORTH TRAINERS' DAY
*1st Race @ 1.15pm
*Each Race Carries a BOBS Silver Bonus Available up to $9625.00
*Race 1 @ 1.15pm FURNEYS STOCKFEEDS TAMWORTH 3YO & UP COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES MAIDEN PLATE (1000m) - Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
We launch into a very strong and open meeting with the male maiden sprinters at set weights. It's been a long wait for highly touted five-year-old gelding 2. LOPE DE BROKER (Cameron Crockett/Mitchell Bell; 59kg) who bled on debut last April at home when heavily backed. Stable has taken its time handing him two progressive trials, and draws to get a sweet run.
*MAIN DANGERS: Watch the betting on Denman four-year-old 4. Twin Seas who hasn't done a lot in two trials, but draws well and trained on the track. Keep safe local three-year-old 11. The Gossiper who only missed narrowly third-up at Scone. Some query from the gate coming back sharply in distance, but does get blinkers.
Likely Tempo: Good
My Betting Attack: LOPE DE BROKER to WIN
*Race 2 @ 1.50pm TAB.COM.AU 3YO & UP FILLIES & MARES MAIDEN PLATE (1000m) - Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
Now the girls' edition, and it's hard to resist the trial form of three-year-old Wyong filly 8. EYEWITNESS (Kristen Buchanan/Ashley Morgan; 57.5kg) who looks strategically placed on debut. By Star Witness and won her two latest trials by comfortable margins.
*MAIN DANGERS: Improving Newcastle filly 6. Belleofthehunter has been close-up in two runs back at the provincials, and can peak here with winkers going on. Gap to the rest, although big watch on four-year-old debutant mare 2. Busy Izy who trialled strongly narrowly beating Accelerant who then went close on debut. Bred for speed, and draws the inside gate; while included in exotics three-year-old Scone filly 7. Discompose third-up.
Likely Tempo: Solid to Good
My Betting Attack: EYEWITNESS to WIN & Trifecta: 6,8/2,6,7,8/2,6,7,8
*Race 3 @ 2.25pm LUKE MORGAN BREAKING & PRE-TRAINING MAIDEN HCP (1600m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
Very even and testing maiden, with plenty of chances. Like the market value about four-year-old provincial mare 12. MOPITTS (Allan Denham/Ben Looker; 55kg) who can run over the top of this field fourth-up. Has attacked the line late in her last two at Muswellbrook, and looks nicely placed on the limit weight over a bit more ground.
*MAIN DANGERS: Newcastle three-year-old filly 5. Mon Amore is searching for this journey after three runs back in deeper provincial grade. Draws to get plenty of cover, and drops 2.5kg in weight. Improving three-year-old 1. Wiki progressed nicely when stepping up sharply to a middle distance in only his second start, and the winner then bolted in again over much further at Scone on Sunday. Blinkers have been removed. Keep safe tough three-year-old 3. My Greyt Mate who also improved significantly second run after a spell, and getting out to the mile on a quick back-up is a worthy pointer. Victorian four-year-old 7. High Commission has been placed in all three runs this prep carrying a big weight, and while this is tougher, gets his chance dropping 3.5kg from a sound trailing draw. Scone four-year-old 10. Individualist is also bursting to break through, and gets significant weight relief, but will need everything to go right from a horror draw.
Likely Tempo: Fair to Solid
My Betting Attack: MOPITTS Each Way and First Four: 1,5,12/1,3,5,7,10,12/1,3,5,7,10,12/1,3,5,7,10,12
*Race 4 @ 3.05pm O'NEILE RACING CLASS 3 HCP (1000m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
Exciting and high class sprint, with potential Country C'ship qualifying spots on the line. Scone four-year-old gelding 3. THE SNOOPERSTAR (Mark Schmetzer/Ben Looker; 59.5kg) resumes for the first time over 1000m. Was very competitive in Highway company last spring, and reportedly has been working very strongly.
*MAIN DANGERS: Plenty of them headed by resuming provincial four-year-old 4. Ready To Roam who has trialled well and comes to hand quickly. Smart local four-year-old 2. Depth That Varies flew home resuming here before failing to run on in a stronger Highway at Randwick. Proven weight carrier and who can find a trail, but dropping back in distance against some of these is a query. Consistent Scone five-year-old 6. Expellable draws to get a good trail off the speed, and is best of the rest.
Likely Tempo: Good to Strong
My Betting Attack: THE SNOOPERSTAR to WIN & Trifecta: 2,3,4/2,3,4,6/2,3,4,6
*Race 5 @ 3.40pm SUE GRILLS RACING CLASS 1 HCP (1400m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
One of the tougher and most open races on the card where early positions and tempo will both be vital. Progressive four-year-old Scone mare 9. DON'TFORGETMONICA (Cameron Crockett/Jake Pracey-Holmes; 56kg) has bigger targets in line, and can make it two straight this prep third-up. Didn't have the easiest of runs at Dubbo, but still rounded them up impressively. Drawn out, but comes in a few after scratchings and only needs some cover to the 600m to be charging home again.
*MAIN DANGERS: Got plenty of time for home track four-year-old 3. Another Arli who hit the line okay first-up at Walcha, and the form has stood up well. Normally improves again into his second-up run, and has never missed a place from four starts here. Progressive four-year-old 5. Dr Copper is ready to win third-up from an ideal trailing draw after finishing well to miss narrowly in a similar race only 11 days ago. Loved how improving four-year-old 6. Roman Candle took control of his maiden at Taree, and gave nothing else a chance from the 500m. Taking on tougher here, but loves this trip. Include hard fit mare 10. Surf who landed her maiden last start; while keeping safe stablemate 8. Dream Song who has made a bad habit of being rolled as favourite, and draws off the track, but she has enough ability to be in the finish third-up.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: DON'TFORGETMONICA Each Way and Box Exacta 3,5,9
*Race 6 @ 4.15pm CODY MORGAN RACING COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1200m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
It doesn't get much easier here, again with plenty of hopes. Locally-trained four-year-old gelding 6. MANSENETA (Cody Morgan/Ms Casey Waddell a2kg; 57kg) has very good finishing ability, settling well back off the speed and hitting the line. Comes back in distance second-up, but kept up to the mark via a trial since a big closing first-up run in a deeper BM 58.
*MAIN DANGERS: Tough local six-year-old 4. Kensington Kid is hard fit and dug deep to win at Walcha, and should again land in a nice spot right on the pace. Capable four-year-old 1. Mathematics did his best work late resuming here in a better race, but faces a task under 60kg from a wide barrier. Improving three-year-old 5. Magic On Ice was disappointing in a Class 1 after beating a handy maiden, and can rebound despite being unfavourably treated at the weights. Include in exotics 7. Rightful Heir second-up.
Likely Tempo: Solid to Good
My Betting Attack: MANSENETA Each Way
*Race 7 @ 4.50pm OVER THE LINE RACING CLASS 3 HCP (1600m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
Back out to the mile for another open and good quality contest. Keen on lightly raced Scone six-year-old gelding 4. VELARO (Cameron Crockett/Jake Pracey-Holmes; 58kg) fifth-up this prep. Should have won the Gilgandra Cup when badly held up in the straight before failing to finish off in Highway grade. Back to his right company, and this is a pet trip.
*MAIN DANGERS: Tough four-year-old 2. Rich And Shameless rarely runs a bad one, and was terrific off a one month break missing by a nose in a Country C'ship Preview. That said he rises sharply to 60.5kg. Consistent home mare 7. Ellebeedee swept home for a dominant win in weaker class, and well capable of going to another level, but facing a tough task from the barrier; while 8. Fenerbache draws to get a soft run and is best of the rest.
Likely Tempo: Reasonable
My Betting Attack: VELARO Each Way & Box Exacta 2,4,7
Race 8 @ 5.30pm CRAIG MARTIN RACING FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1200m) - Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
We close with a competitive sprint for the girls. Progressive four-year-old Scone mare 6. STELLAR BLAZE (Scott Singleton/Billy Cray; 57lg) only needs to find cover from the outside gate to take care of these. Has hit the line impressively in her last two, the latest coming from last here when well backed. Peaks fourth-up for an in-form trainer/rider combination, and is headed for much bigger races.
*MAIN DANGERS: Home track six-year mare 5. Mock Song draws well, but would need to keep improving after winning a low-grade race at Walcha. Big watch on resuming mare 1. Nashian who hasn't started for more than seven months, but comes to hand quickly and draws the inside; while included in exotics four-year-old mare 7. Vinaigrette who can improve further deep into her prep.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: STELLAR BLAZE to WIN
**My BEST BETS:
R1 2. LOPE DE BROKER** Expect: $2.50 - $2.75; My Early Rating: $1.98
R8 6. STELLAR BLAZE** Expect: $3.00 - $3.50; My Early Rating: $2.22
**My BEST VALUE:
R5 9. DON'TFORGETMONICA** Expect: $7.00 - $8.00; My Early Rating: $4.75
R6 6. MANSENETA** Expect: $9.50 - $10.50; My Early Rating: $5.10
**TRAINERS TO FOLLOW:
**JOCKEYS TO FOLLOW: