TAB RACE DAY
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1st Race @ 1.05pm
*Track likely Heavy 8/9 with some lead-up rain & Rail True so on or just off the speed for much of the meeting before a late trend wider
*RACE 1 @ 1.05pm TJC MEMBERS MAIDEN HCP (1000m) - Min Weight 55kg & apprentices can claim:
We start with a very competitive sprint. Improving 2YO Newcastle filly 11. MUSCADELLE (Nathan Doyle/Ashley Morgan, 55kg; $1.95 - $2.05) was a little disappointing first-up at home when hard in the market, but the winner is smart, and she can improve enough here.
MAIN DANGERS: Scone 4YO mare 3. Potts Point showed good improvement at her second start, and bred to handle the conditions.
Likely Tempo: Good
My Betting Attack: MUSCADELLE to Win
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*RACE 2 @ 1.40pm CJ BRITTEN MAIDEN PLATE (1200m) - Set Weights & apprentices can claim:
Still with the maidens, and progressive 3YO Newcastle filly 5. JAJA CHABOOGIE (Kris Lees/Andrew Gibbons, 57kg; $1.85 - $2.00) is the one to beat at only her second start from a handy draw. Finished nicely into a place behind a smart one on debut at Scone, and extra trip is ideal.
MAIN DANGERS: Improving 3YO Armidale filly 9. Vinaigrette has been hitting the line hard all prep, and had very little luck getting home well at Dubbo last start. The inside draw doesn't do her style any favours, but is hard fit and will be finishing on. Big watch on 2YO Scone gelding and first starter 10. Dawn Strike (Dawn Approach x Pretty Strike by Spinning World) who has spent plenty of time at the trials, and debuts for a strong stable in blinkers.
Likely Tempo: Solid to Good
My Betting Attack: JAJA CHABOOGIE to Win & Box Exacta 5,9,10
*RACE 3 @ 2.15pm ADVANCED INLAND SECURITY CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2100m) - Set Weights; 3YO's & Upwards & apprentices can claim:
Good battle of tactics here. Keen on lightly raced 6YO Scone mare 10. AVALENE (Brett Cavanough/Grant Buckley, 55kg; $3.60 - $3.85) second-up out to thIs trip after working home nicely resuming over the mile at home.
MAIN DANGERS: Improving 3YO Newcastle filly 9. Hyperlink surged home to win her maiden third-up in the heavy at Port Macquarie. Steps up sharply in trip, but looks well in at the weights with blinkers on for the first time. Gulgong 4YO gelding 3. Clever Missile has been consistent enough without winning as the distances have risen. Draws to get a cosy run, and chances increased back on a smaller track; while 4YO Armidale gelding 7. Golden Boy has been working home okay under bigger weights this prep, and will relish getting out to this distance.
Likely Tempo: Moderate to Solid
My Betting Attack: AVALENE to Win and Quinella 9 & 10
*RACE 4 @ 2.50pm TAB.COM.AU MAIDEN PLATE (1400m) - Set Weights & apprentices can claim:
Two runners can fight this one out. Improving 3YO Scone filly 5. ENTREAT (Cameron Crockett/Anthony Cavallo, 57kg; $4.65 - $4.85) can snap a run of three straight 2nd placings, and break through at sixth start. Hit the line in successive runs at Dubbo before working home from just off the speed in a deeper maiden at home. Hard fit, and stable has again tinkered with the gear.
MAIN DANGERS: Home track 4YO mare 7. Golden Missile is the clear threat at third start after chasing home two smart ones at Scone, although that winner then failed badly as a raging hot favourite next start; while 2YO Scone gelding 13. Overseas can improve at second start in a race with less depth.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: ENTREAT to Win
*RACE 5 @ 3.25pm FURNEYS STOCKFEED CLASS 1 HCP (1200m) - Min Weight 55kg & apprentices can claim:
Good quality race for this grade. Keen on progressive 3YO Scone filly 9. STELLAR BLAZE (Scott Singleton/Billy Cray, 55.5kg; $4.00 - $4.15) fourth-up for in-form stable. Charged home to win her maiden as a heavily backed favourite at Dubbo two runs back before close-up in a handy CL1 at home when she looked the winner at the furlong.
*MAIN DANGERS: Muswellbrook 3YO filly 5. Cecilia can take the next step after a tough front-running maiden win at Scone, and the second horse has since franked that form storming home to win his maiden at Grafton last week. Scone 4YO mare 3. A RoomSomewhere is bursting to win a second race after three starts back from a long spell. Fought on strong here two runs back in a BM 58 before swamped late after leading early at Dubbo. Trainer has made key gear changes, and draws to get a controlled run from the inside barrier.
Likely Tempo: Solid to Good
My Betting Attack: STELLAR BLAZE to Win & Quinella 5 and 9
*RACE 6 @ 4.05pm WELCOME BACK OWNERS BM 58 HCP (1600m) - Min Weight 55kg & apprentices can claim:
Talented 4YO Newcastle mare 4. THE DEEL IS DUN (Jason Deamer/Aaron Bullock, 60kg; $7.00 - $7.25) only got going late after getting a mile back this grade at Scone last start. Has good closing form in deeper races, and looks over the odds here with new jockey aboard.
*MAIN DANGERS: Consistent 3YO Newcastle gelding 3. The Borough is shooting for three straight after sweeping home to win a CL1 at Scone over the mile, but has paid the handicapper's price jumping to 61kg, and likely will be forced a long way back from the wide draw. Rival Newcastle 3YO gelding 1. Excelsa is also chasing a hattrick after sailing home to win a weaker race at Quirindi. Up to 62kg here, but showing plenty of promise, and extra trip is no concern.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: THE DEEL IS DUN Each Way & Boxed Exacta 1,3,4
*RACE 7 @4.40pm J T FOSSEY CLASS 2 HCP (1400m) - Min Weight 55kg & apprentices can claim:
We finish with a good CL2, and Newcastle 3YO gelding 6. WAR CAT (Jason Deamer/Aaron Bullock, 59kg; $2.65 - $2.80) looks one of the better bets on the card after an impressive CL1 win at Muswellbrook. Beat Stellar Blaze who goes around earlier, and he's ready for the step up to this distance.
*MAIN DANGERS: Keep safe improving 3YO Moree gelding 5. Liberty Head who has been ultra consistent this prep. Finished hard to win at home last start, although much more depth in this field.
Likely Tempo: Fair to Moderate
My Betting Attack: WAR CAT to Win
**My BEST BETS:
R4 5. ENTREAT** Expect: $4.50 - $4.65; My Early Rating: $2.45
R7 6. WAR CAT** Expect: $2.65 - $2.80; My Early Rating: $2.00
**My BEST VALUE:
R6 4. THE DEEL IS DUN** Expect: $7.00 - $7.25; My Early Rating: $4.20
**TRAINERS TO FOLLOW:
JASON DEAMER*
KRIS LEES*
**JOCKEYS TO FOLLOW:
AARON BULLOCK*